Who do the experts expect the Knicks to pick?

The Knicks have lost more games than any team in the NBA this century, but have never had the No. 1 overall pick. Or the No. 2 overall pick. They've had a top-3 selection just once.

The NBA draft lottery was held last night, and it's now official: The Knicks will select 11th overall in the 2022 draft. 

We shouldn't be at all surprised that New York failed to move up, as this is the 38th straight year the Knicks have either stayed put or been bumped back. Yes, they haven't moved up since winning the lottery (and the right to draft Patrick Ewing) in 1985.

What's even more incredible/unfathomable is that the Knicks have lost more games than any team in the NBA this century, but have never had the No. 1 overall pick. Or the No. 2 overall pick. They've had a top-3 selection just once. They've landed in the top six only twice.

To put that in context: The Suns, who went to the Finals last season and finished with the league's best record this season, have had more top-4 picks over the previous five years than the Knicks have had over the last 35 years. The Cavs (who have won a title and been to the Finals four other times this century) have won the lottery three times and finished in the top-5 on five other occasions over the last 19 years.

Now that we know the Knicks are stuck at 11, let's check out the latest mock drafts from reputable sites and see whom they project New York to select. Hopefully, this will save you some time spent digging around the internet, as I'll also include the comments/explanations from the corresponding analyst for each pick.

The Ringer:
Jalen Duren - Memphis - Freshman - Forward
Per The Ringer's Kevin O'Connor: "Mitchell Robinson is a free agent. Julius Randle needs to go. Nerlens Noel can't stay healthy. Adding another big seems like a realistic choice for the Knicks. Duren can pressure the rim with his elite athleticism, which could be beneficial for guys like RJ Barrett and Obi Toppin. Though targeting one of the main playmakers available could also make sense for the Knicks, I see them acquiring one via trade or free agency this summer. Drafting a young big would give them an immediate contributor on a cost-effective deal. It just so happens that Duren is one of the draft's youngest players, so he would also provide long-term upside to a young team still finding its identity."

CBS Sports:
Bennedict Mathurin - Arizona - Sophomore - G/F
Per CBS analyst Kyle Boone: "New York was 10th in its conference in 3-point shooting percentage this season, so Mathurin's an obvious gap-filler here in a great range. He shot 37% from the 3-point line as a sophomore with Arizona this season and has a quick, easily-projectable outside shot that will make him a valuable role-player for years to come."

Sports Illustrated:
AJ Griffin - Duke - Freshman - Forward
Per SI's Jeremy Woo: "Griffin remains a somewhat polarizing prospect for teams: he is an outstanding jump shooter, but left something to be desired from an athletic standpoint this season, and front offices are cognizant of his injury history. If he can get back to the type of explosive athlete he was early in his high school career, there's certainly some added upside here, and the fact he's one of the youngest players in the draft helps his case. It may take him longer than some lottery picks to contribute, but he should appeal to teams in this part of the draft searching for value. The Knicks are entering an important offseason and might prefer someone closer to giving them minutes next season, but adding a young shooter of Griffin's caliber might be too tempting here."

Bleacher Report:
Dyson Daniels - G League Ignite - SG/PG:
Per BR's Jonathan Wasserman: "Versatility specialist may be the most fitting label for Daniels, who played different roles and guarded four positions for the Ignite. He's a 6'8" ball-hander with terrific defensive tools and instincts, and the Knicks could use him in different ways: to facilitate from the point; score off the ball; and operate from the post as a guard, wing or forward."